Among the many followers of Horse Racing, there are few that believe that speed handicapping, or any form of handicapping, can provide a total solution to finding winners. There are those that believe that it provides part of the solution and there are those that hold the belief that it offers nothing. I fall very much into the camp that believe it can offer a total solution and that the real issue lies with how speed figures are compiled and viewed. The purpose and motivation behind this blog is to measure speed figures compiled by myself, against one of the most respected and profitable tipsters: ATR's Hugh Taylor.
For each All Weather selection Hugh Taylor makes, I will offer my top rated from my Horse Racing Tips blog as my selection in the race mirroring the stake defined by Hugh Taylor on his selection. This should put Hugh Taylor at distinct advantage with the choice of race and his chosen stake.
It is important that this blog is seen in the right light in that I have the greatest respect and admiration for Hugh Taylor and this is simply to test my mechanical process against a top tipster that uses a multi-faceted selection process.
2014: The Actuary finished the year +25.05 points ahead of Hugh Taylor
Hugh Taylor recorded a profit of +199.79 pts in 2014 for all selections. Subscribers to The Actuary recorded a profit of +400.75 pts on the All Weather!
Friday, 29 January 2010
29th January 2010
(HT) 1 point EW Garstang -2.00
(TA) 1 point EW Inconparable -2.00
Hugh Taylor's choice of race has made life difficult for me to make a selection with my ratings giving a 3 way tie between Billy Red, Incomparable and Master Lightfoot. Billy Red I would prefer over 6f but Incomparable (16-1) and Master Lightfoot (6-1) both have claims. Incomparable is a massive price for a horse rarely out of the frame and Master Lightfoot who experienced traffic problems when finishing 3rd over C&D LTO may be better than the form suggests. As the price is so seductive in a race I would not usually play in Incomparable will be my selection.
5:10 Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Classified Claiming Stakes (CLASS 5)(4yo+ 0-70) Winner £2,457 9 runners 1m141y
(HT) 2 points EW Shake On It 3RD 8-1 +0.88
(TA) 1 point Convince -1.00